What are the current odds for Will SCOTUS hear a Third Amendment case by EOY 2030??

Manifold Markets prices No at 91.6% as of October 31, 2026.

Will SCOTUS hear a Third Amendment case by EOY 2030?

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

Current community forecast

No 91.6%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 7 hours ago

Stale

Jan 1, 24, 9:41 AM UTCDec 9, 30, 5:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

The Third Amended which stops the government housing soldiers in people's houses is rarely covered in the Courts.

The Supreme Court has never heard a case centering around it.
This question will resolve YES if by EOY 2030 the Supreme Court grants cert in a case where at least one of the major questions revolves around the Third Amendment.