Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 50.3%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleAug 12, 26, 12:22 AM UTCJun 30, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
The scope of the Supreme Court decision in the Citizens United case is being tested by a Maine law voted overwhelmingly with over 75 per cent support, capping donations at 5 000 dollars and with other adjustments, and the law is now being tested in a court case destined to be heard by the Supreme Court.
- Resolves based on whatever action the Supreme Court takes, in the extremely unlikely case that the Supreme Court refuses the case or either side demurs proceding further at any stage, resolves according to the prevailing result, whether the Maine law being upheld, or being overturned.https://www.pressherald.com/2024/12/13/maine-sued-over-new-voter-approved-campaign-finance-limits/
- https://www.pressherald.com/2024/12/13/maine-https://www.pressherald.com/2024/12/13/maine-sued-over-new-voter-approved-campaign-finance-limits/sued-over-new-voter-approved-campaign-finance-limits/https://www.pressherald.com/2024/12/13/maine-sued-over-new-voter-approved-campaign-finance-limits/https://www.pressherald.com/2024/12/13/maine-sued-over-new-voter-approved-campaign-finance-limits/
- [link preview]Update 2026-08-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The creator will extend the market close date to allow the Supreme Court case to mature and resolve naturally, rather than resolving early based on the fallback 'prevailing result' clause due to the original June 2027 timeline.
