KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Sep 8, 2026, 5:10 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
No 100%
Market quality
37 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
60.0% / 68.0%
Spread
8.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Aug 20, 26, 2:00 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
100%
0%
Rules
If any federal court rules that Visa Inc. violated Section 1 or Section 2 of the Sherman Act on any claim for relief asserted by the United States in United States v.
- Visa Inc., No. 1:24-cv-07214 (S.D.N.Y.), or any appeal of that action before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Liability on any one of the four claims for relief the United States pleaded is enough, and partial liability counts.
- An order that only sets or modifies a remedy does not qualify unless it also carries the liability holding.
- The ruling must: Be issued by a federal court in United States v.
- Visa Inc., No. 1:24-cv-07214 (S.D.N.Y.), or any appeal of that action Address the matter described by the specified judgment Be issued through a written order, opinion, judgment, or decision
Open markets
Regulation
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.0pt84.2%
- Yes-1.0pt15.8%
- Total Vol
- $14.3M
- 24h Vol
- $157.6K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,-1.0pt86%
- November 30,-1.5pt84%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027-4.0pt45%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-7.0pt40%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-29.0pt24%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027+4.0pt54%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 more outcomes
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 202795%
- Before Feb 1, 202793%
- Before Apr 1, 202792%
+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.6M
- 24h Vol
- $16.5K
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt20%
- $1.75T–$2.0T+0.5pt19.1%
- $1.5T–$1.75T+0.1pt18.1%
+5 more outcomes
- Conference to Win the National Championship
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
- Will Alabama cut its state grocery tax again?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
- Will Delaware raise its corporate franchise tax?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by September 30?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will a court rule Visa violated antitrust law on debit??
- Kalshi prices No at 100% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will a court rule Visa violated antitrust law on debit? resolve?
- Will a court rule Visa violated antitrust law on debit? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2030.
- How is Will a court rule Visa violated antitrust law on debit? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If any federal court rules that Visa Inc. violated Section 1 or Section 2 of the Sherman Act on any claim for relief asserted by the United States in United States v.