US court case where Ableman v. Booth is material on the Supremacy Clause before midterm elections?
One-OffUS Politics5d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 71.5%
Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingSep 21, 25, 12:47 AM UTCNov 2, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Lycantheory Will Get Caught Staging His Court Case
Manifold MarketsWill a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?
PolymarketRepublican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
PolymarketWill the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
PolymarketRepublican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
PolymarketWill the US-Iran war end before the 2026 midterm elections?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves based on court documents and mainstream news reporting.
- The precedent's wikipedia article linked below.
- The relevant date before which the case must be filed after in this case being September 22. 2025.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ableman_v._Booth
- [link preview]
