Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
1.0 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms23d
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Below 190 · —
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Stored reference
Below 190 26.2%Leader of 10 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Below 190 26.2%Market quality
72 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$88
Liquidity
$400.5K
High liquidityBid / Ask
— / —
Below 190Spread
—
Comments
5
7d Change
-0.9 pts
Market data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Dec 19, 25, 2:11 AM UTCNov 4, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Market depth · Below 190
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to the Republican Party’s seat count in the U.S. House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 United States midterm election scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- The seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress.
- Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat.
- Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
- If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
- House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, the Republican party are included in the count.
