Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
0.2 pts (24h)One-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms2mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Yes 98%-0.2pt
Yes 98%-0.2ptMarket quality
81 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$4.2K
Liquidity
$84.9K
High liquidityBid / Ask
98.0% / 98.1%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
20
7d Change
-0.1 pts
Market data
Updated 21 minutes ago
Jan 15, 26, 7:15 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
