PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Byron Donalds 97%Leader of 23 outcomes
Market quality
72 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$58.7
Liquidity
$258.4K
High liquidityBid / Ask
2.5% / 2.7%
Spread
8.0%
Moderate spread7d Change
-0.6%
Market data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Nov 25, 25, 10:35 PMAug 18, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Byron Donalds97%
Compare venues· Byron Donalds
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall85% match · verified | High | 97% | 0pt | $163.7K | $6.6M | 19 minutes ago | Open → |
| PolymarketThis page | Medium | 97% | 0pt | $58.7 | $258.4K | 19 minutes ago | |
 PredictIt85% match · linked | — | 94% | -3pt | — | — | 19 minutes ago | Open → |
 Manifold Markets85% match · linked | — | 94% | -3pt | — | — | 19 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Kalshi
Florida Republican Governor nominee?
0.1%3mo
-0.1%97%
+0.1%3%
+0.4%1%
+6 more outcomes
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$11.1M
24h Vol$163.7K
KALSHIAlso available on PredictIt
Who will win the 2026 Florida Republican nomination for governor?
1y
94%
-2.0%4%
1%
+2 more outcomes
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITAlso available on Manifold Markets
Who will be the 2026 Republican nominee for Governor of Florida?
5d
94.2%
4%
1.5%
+1 more outcomes
Community forecast18 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.
- If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
- The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$1.4k97.5%KALSHIByron Donalds — Yes8h ago
KALSHIByron Donalds — Yes8h ago$4.4k97.7%KALSHIJames Fishback — No2d ago
KALSHIJames Fishback — No2d ago$2.8k97.7%KALSHIJames Fishback — No2d ago
KALSHIJames Fishback — No2d ago$1.1k97.7%KALSHIJames Fishback — No2d ago
KALSHIJames Fishback — No2d ago$5.8k97.6%KALSHIJames Fishback — No2d ago
KALSHIJames Fishback — No2d ago$1.8k97.2%POLYMARKETWill James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? — NoInsiderrrZ5d ago
POLYMARKETWill James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? — NoInsiderrrZ5d ago$4.8k97.1%KALSHIJames Fishback — No11d ago
KALSHIJames Fishback — No11d ago$2.4k96.4%KALSHIJames Fishback — No14d ago
KALSHIJames Fishback — No14d agoVolume trend
$59Jul 225d of dataJul 26
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This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.
- If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
- The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.