PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
December 31 · —
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Stored reference
December 31 8%Leader of 3 outcomes
December 31 8%Market quality
55 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$14
Liquidity
$15.1K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
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December 31Spread
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Comments
65
7d Change
+0.5 pts
Market data
Updated 30 minutes ago
Jul 19, 26, 2:54 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
August 31Lost
July 31Lost
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Market depth · December 31
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Andrew Tate spend more than 1 year in prison before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Andrew Tate be found guilty of rape or human trafficking in the UK?
Manifold MarketsWill Andrew Tate be extradited by the end of the year?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the Andrew Tate trial start? (regarding the human trafficking / organized crime charges)
Manifold MarketsJair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?
PolymarketMaduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by which date?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Andrew Tate is released from government custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If Tate is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
- If Tate is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
- Transporting Andrew Tate to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
- Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
