Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 66.4%
Forecasters
49
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleApr 18, 24, 12:53 AM UTCFeb 27, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
When will the Andrew Tate trial start? (regarding the human trafficking / organized crime charges)
Manifold MarketsWhen will Andrew Tate be convicted of human trafficking?
Manifold MarketsWill Andrew Tate be found guilty of human (sex) trafficking in Romania?
Manifold MarketsWill Andrew Tate be found guilty of human (sex) trafficking?
Manifold MarketsAndrew Tate released from custody by which date?
PolymarketSPLC found guilty in 2026?
PolymarketRules
The UK have issued a European arrest warrant for Andrew Tate and his brother.
- A Romanian court has approved a request from Britain to extradite Andrew Tate but postponed doing so until Romanian trial proceedings finish.
- Will this result in Tate being found guilty in the UK?
- Close date will be extended as necessary.
- Resolution criteria:
- Appearing in court remotely still counts as yes (as long as found guilty)
