PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityYes 11%
Market quality
72 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$100
Liquidity
$52.8K
High liquidityBid / Ask
10.7% / 11.4%
Spread
6.5%
Moderate spread7d Change
-0.8%
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Nov 5, 25, 7:43 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes11%
Volume trend
$100Jul 225d of dataJul 26
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
- If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
- Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.