PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 93%-0.3pt
Market quality
70 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$66
Liquidity
$32.2K
High liquidityBid / Ask
7.0% / 7.3%
Spread
0.3 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
+1.1 pts
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Nov 5, 25, 7:43 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
- If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
- Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Yoon out of custody before 2027??
- Polymarket prices No at 93% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Yoon out of custody before 2027? resolve?
- Yoon out of custody before 2027? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Yoon out of custody before 2027? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.