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  3. SBF released from custody in 2026?
SBF released from custody in 2026?

SBF released from custody in 2026?

0.3% (24h)CryptoYearlyCrime & Justice6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 5%
Market quality

79 / 100

High quality
24h Volume

$988

Liquidity

$14K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

4.8% / 4.9%

Spread

2.1%

Tight spread
7d Change

+1.6%

Market data

Updated 2 minutes ago

Feb 24, 26, 1:31 AMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes5%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Bankman-Fried is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • If Sam Bankman-Fried is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
  • If Sam Bankman-Fried is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
  • Transporting Sam Bankman-Fried to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
  • Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,813.97+1.92%EthereumETH$1,657.75+1.27%XRPXRP$1.12+0.49%SolanaSOL$65.19+1.66%BNBBNB$601.23+2.47%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.40%

Related News

Gannon Van Dyke faces landmark Polymarket insider trading trialCrypto NewsWashington man gets five years for laundering $97M in fraud proceeds Crypto NewsFormer Epstein assistant Lesley Groff appears before House panel Crypto NewsChinese Man Gets 10+ Years for Stealing 107 BTC Using Memorized KeyBlockchain.NewsBitcoin kidnap organizer Saif Faiq faces 20 years in prisonCrypto NewsSam Bankman-Fried Requests Trump Pardon Amid 25-Year SentenceBlockchain.News

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Bankman-Fried is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • If Sam Bankman-Fried is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
  • If Sam Bankman-Fried is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
  • Transporting Sam Bankman-Fried to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
  • Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.