PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 86%+2.0pt
Market quality
34 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$892.5
Low liquidityBid / Ask
3.0% / 24.1%
Spread
21.1 pt
Wide spreadComments
2
7d Change
-3.7 pts
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Apr 23, 26, 5:55 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sean "Diddy" Combs is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If Sean Combs is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
- If Sean Combs is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
- Transporting Sean Combs to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
- Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Diddy released from custody in 2026??
- Polymarket prices No at 86% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Diddy released from custody in 2026? resolve?
- Diddy released from custody in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Diddy released from custody in 2026? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sean "Diddy" Combs is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.