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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Geopolitics
  3. Will Ghislaine Maxwell be released from government custody?
Will Ghislaine Maxwell be released from government custody?

Will Ghislaine Maxwell be released from government custody?

1.0% (24h)GeopoliticsOne-OffCrime & Justice6mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 12%-1.0%
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$7.3

Liquidity

$179.5

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

11.0% / 15.0%

Spread

36.4%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 6 minutes ago

Dec 18, 25, 1:00 AMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes12%

Rules

If Ghislaine Maxwell has been released from all forms of government custody and is free to move and act without government-imposed physical restrictions before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For purposes of this Contract, the person is released from government custody when they are no longer subject to physical detention or imprisonment imposed by any government authority.
  • This includes release from prisons, jails, detention centers, immigration facilities, military detention, or any other form of government-imposed physical confinement at a government-run facility.

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Rules

If Ghislaine Maxwell has been released from all forms of government custody and is free to move and act without government-imposed physical restrictions before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For purposes of this Contract, the person is released from government custody when they are no longer subject to physical detention or imprisonment imposed by any government authority.
  • This includes release from prisons, jails, detention centers, immigration facilities, military detention, or any other form of government-imposed physical confinement at a government-run facility.