Will Ghislaine Maxwell be released from government custody?
2.4% (24h)GeopoliticsOne-OffCrime & Justice5mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityYes 7%-2.4%
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$149.3
Liquidity
$20.7K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
7.3% / 9.6%
Spread
31.5%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Dec 18, 25, 1:00 AMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes7%
Volume trend
$149Jul 321d of dataJul 25
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If Ghislaine Maxwell has been released from all forms of government custody and is free to move and act without government-imposed physical restrictions before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For purposes of this Contract, the person is released from government custody when they are no longer subject to physical detention or imprisonment imposed by any government authority.
- This includes release from prisons, jails, detention centers, immigration facilities, military detention, or any other form of government-imposed physical confinement at a government-run facility.