President Trump grants clemency to Ghislaine Maxwell by midterms?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsCrime & Justice1moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 94.3%
Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 20 hours ago
StaleFeb 10, 26, 3:59 AM UTCNov 2, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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FutuurRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if President Trump grants clemency (pardon, commutation, or reprieve) to Ghislaine Maxwell before November 3, 2026.
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the White House or Department of Justice.
- The market resolves NO if no clemency is granted by the deadline.
- Maxwell is serving a 20-year prison sentence for federal sex-trafficking charges for her role in sexually exploiting and abusing minors with Epstein.
- In February 2026, Maxwell declined to answer questions from House lawmakers in a deposition but indicated that if President Trump ended her prison sentence, she was willing to testify that neither Trump nor former President Bill Clinton had done anything wrong in their connections with Epstein.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for President Trump grants clemency to Ghislaine Maxwell by midterms??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 94% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does President Trump grants clemency to Ghislaine Maxwell by midterms? resolve?
- President Trump grants clemency to Ghislaine Maxwell by midterms? is scheduled to resolve on November 2, 2026.
- How is President Trump grants clemency to Ghislaine Maxwell by midterms? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria