Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
1.5% (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElectionCrime & Justice5mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityYes 6%-0.0%
Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$347.3
Liquidity
$18.3K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
5.0% / 6.0%
Spread
20.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Jul 23, 25, 5:18 AMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes6%
Large trades
$1.4k92.0%POLYMARKETNoMilktoast14d ago
POLYMARKETNoMilktoast14d agoVolume trend
$347Jul 223d of dataJul 26
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
- The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.