Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElectionCrime & Justice2mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored reference
No 97%
No 97%Market quality
65 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$27
Liquidity
$29.3K
High liquidityOpen interest
$150.1K
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Comments
31
7d Change
+0.1 pts
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Jul 23, 25, 5:18 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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FutuurWho will Trump pardon in 2026?
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
- The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.