Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElectionCrime & Justice3mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 94.1%
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$18.1K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
5.0% / 6.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
31
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Jul 23, 25, 5:18 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
- The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026??
- Polymarket prices No at 94% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? resolve?
- Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Where else is Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Manifold Markets.