Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? [Polymarket]
PoliticsUS PoliticsCrime & Justice3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 91%
Forecasters
25
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+1.0 pts
Market data
Updated 19 hours ago
StaleJul 26, 25, 11:46 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolves the same as the Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-pardon-ghislaine-maxwell
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
- The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? [Polymarket]?
- Manifold Markets prices No at 91% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? [Polymarket] resolve?
- Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? [Polymarket] is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? [Polymarket] settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves the same as the Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-pardon-ghislaine-maxwell
- Where else is Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? [Polymarket] listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket.