KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilitySean Combs 22%+15.6%Leader of 33 outcomes
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$16.3K
Liquidity
$155.2K
High liquidityBid / Ask
19.0% / 22.0%
Spread
15.8%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Dec 23, 25, 3:00 PMJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Sean Combs22%
Also available on Polymarket
Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
0.7%5mo
+7.5%54%
50%
+3.0%50%
+24 more outcomes
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$315K
24h Vol$14.6K
POLYMARKETRules
If Donald Trump has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Keonne Rodriguez has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Derek Chauvin has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Sam Bankman-Fried has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Jared Kushner has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Eric Adams has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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If Donald Trump has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Keonne Rodriguez has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Derek Chauvin has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Sam Bankman-Fried has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Jared Kushner has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Eric Adams has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.