KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Data quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 10:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
2 59%Leader of 8 outcomes
2 59%Market quality
31 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
$5.9K
Medium open interestMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Oct 1, 26, 2:00 PM UTCOct 14, 26, 2:14 PM UTC
Trends
259%
3 to 926%
25 to 996%
10 to 242%
100 to 2492%
Above 2492%
0Lost
1Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
PolymarketWho will Trump pardon in 2026?
KalshiWill Trump pardon anyone by which date?
PolymarketWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
PolymarketWill Trump pardon Elon Musk in 2026?
PredictItWill Trump pardon Nicolás Maduro or commute his sentence in 2026?
PredictItRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Rules for each outcome
- 2
- If the President pardons, commutes the sentence of, or gives reprieve to exactly 2 persons in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 3 to 9
- If the President pardons, commutes the sentence of, or gives reprieve to between 3 and 9 persons in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 0
- If the President pardons, commutes the sentence of, or gives reprieve to exactly 0 persons in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 1
- If the President pardons, commutes the sentence of, or gives reprieve to exactly 1 persons in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 25 to 99
- If the President pardons, commutes the sentence of, or gives reprieve to between 25 and 99 persons in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 10 to 24
- If the President pardons, commutes the sentence of, or gives reprieve to between 10 and 24 persons in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 100 to 249
- If the President pardons, commutes the sentence of, or gives reprieve to between 100 and 249 persons in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 249
- If the President pardons, commutes the sentence of, or gives reprieve to above 249 persons in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.