PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Nothing
Resolved: May 12, 2026, 4:52 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
Nothing 100%+0.0pt
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$14.7K
Liquidity
$358.5K
High liquidityBid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spread7d Change
+0.1 pts
Market data
Updated 112 days ago
StaleApr 7, 26, 10:28 PMApr 30, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
100%
0%
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Rules
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- - Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200 - Fed decides any change in April - US military action against Cuba - Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
- The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_APRIL_2.pdf
