PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSettled by the venue, market by market
Resolved: Aug 28, 2026, 11:52 PM
This event has no single winner. The venue settled each market separately; each market shows its own result.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 29, 2026, 12:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Productivity98%
Task Force 5+ times21%
Integrity0%
Challenge89%
CapEx / Capital Expenditure100%
Good Morning100%
Framework0%
Prediction / Predictive0%
Stable 5+ times0%
Independent / Independence0%
Good Day0%
Payment System0%
Community0%
Ingenuity0%
Trump1%
Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency0%
Gold0%
Bank / Asset 10+ times100%
Regime96%
2008 / Financial Crisis100%
Too Late0%
Bank / Asset 10+ timesWon
AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ timesWon
ChallengeWon
CapEx / Capital ExpenditureWon
RegimeWon
ProductivityWon
2008 / Financial CrisisWon
Good MorningWon
Task Force 5+ timesLost
Stable 5+ timesLost
FrameworkLost
Prediction / PredictiveLost
IntegrityLost
Independent / IndependenceLost
Good DayLost
TrumpLost
Bitcoin / Crypto / CryptocurrencyLost
GoldLost
Too LateLost
-No Qualifying Event-Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Kevin Warsh is scheduled to deliver a speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium on August 28, 2026, 10 AM ET.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during his appearance at this event.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
- If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source is the audio/video of the listed event.
- For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
