KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Reserve President Rejected · —
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Stored price
Reserve President Rejected 14.5%Leader of 5 outcomes
Reserve President Rejected 14.5%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$16.4K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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Reserve President RejectedSpread
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Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
May 5, 26, 2:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Reserve President Rejected
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Trump end the Federal Reserve before 2027?
KalshiWill the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least 3 times before December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Lisa Cook leave the office of Federal Reserve governor in 2026?
FutuurWho will be the next permanent president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump visit the Federal Reserve this year?
KalshiFederal reserve won't exist in 2027
Manifold MarketsRules
If the Board of Governors does not approve the reappointment of a Federal Reserve Bank president after May 05 10:00 AM ET and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The Washington PostFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe GuardianABCBloomberg NewsCBSSouth China Morning PostNBCthe Associated PressThe VergeBBCAxiosCNNABC News AustraliaThe InformationSemaforMSNBCCBCReutersPoliticoThe New York Times
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. Clarification 9/28/26: “Dot Plot Omitted” refers to a published Summary of Economic Projections omitting individual participants’ federal funds rate projections as a whole. The absence of a projection from one or more participants does not qualify if other participants’ individual projections are published. Those projections count regardless of their presentation format or whether the term “dot plot” is used.
Rules for each outcome
- Reserve President Rejected
- If the Board of Governors does not approve the reappointment of a Federal Reserve Bank president after May 05 10:00 AM ET and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Presser Skipped
- If the Federal Reserve Chair does not hold a press conference following a regularly scheduled Federal Open Market Committee meeting after May 05 10:00 AM ET and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Trimmed Mean Emphasized
- If a Federal Open Market Committee post-meeting statement emphasizes trimmed-mean or median inflation measures after May 05 10:00 AM ET and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dot Plot Omitted
- If a Summary of Economic Projections omits individual participants’ federal-funds-rate projections after May 05 10:00 AM ET and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Reserve President Removed
- If the Board of Governors removes a Federal Reserve Bank president from office after May 05 10:00 AM ET and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
