Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: No (98.8%)
Resolved: Oct 28, 2026, 9:50 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
No
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 28, 2026, 8:27 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes1.2%
No98.8%
Won
Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least 3 times before December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsECB Interest Rates: December 2026
PolymarketWill the Fed raise the rate 25bps in December 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExWill the Reserve Bank of Australia raise the rate 25bps at the November 3, 2026 meeting? (RBA) (Interest rates) (Cash rate) (Monetary policy) (Rate hike) (Rate cut)?
ForecastExWhich central banks will raise interest rates in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5%? (United States)
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves YES if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) lowers the target range for the federal funds rate at its October 2026 meeting (scheduled for Oct 27-28, 2026), according to the official FOMC statement on federalreserve.gov.
- Resolves NO if the range is kept unchanged or raised.
- An emergency cut between meetings does not count.
- If no October 2026 meeting is held, resolves N/A. The market closes before the decision is announced.
