KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 100%
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$2.4K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
0.4% / 3.2%
Spread
2.8 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Nov 21, 24, 3:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
100%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Trump end the Federal Reserve?
KalshiWill the Federal Reserve hike interest rates in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich Federal Reserve precedents will be broken?
KalshiWill the Federal Reserve hike interest rates in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least 3 times before December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Lisa Cook leave the office of Federal Reserve governor in 2026?
FutuurRules
If the Federal Reserve System has ended before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Fed
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+10.0pt63.4%
- No change-9.0pt35.6%
- 50+ bps increase+0.4pt1%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $112.1M
- 24h Vol
- $6.2M
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+7.0pt63.4%
- Fed maintains rate-11.0pt33.7%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $43.3M
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt59%
- Fed maintains rate35.4%
- Cut 25bps-1.0pt2.8%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $446.4K
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.1pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)+1.4pt6%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.6pt1%
+10 more outcomes
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+4.5pt70%
- September Meeting+8.0pt63%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 more outcomes
KALSHIFed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Above 3.50%99%
- Above 2.75%99%
- Above 3.00%99%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.7M
- 24h Vol
- $70.6K
- Fed Decision in October?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed Decision in December?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- Fed decision in September?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Trump end the Federal Reserve before 2027??
- Kalshi prices No at 100% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Will Trump end the Federal Reserve before 2027? resolve?
- Will Trump end the Federal Reserve before 2027? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will Trump end the Federal Reserve before 2027? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Federal Reserve System has ended before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.