PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Yes
Resolved: Oct 28, 2026, 4:03 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Yes
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
90%
ConsensusData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 29, 2026, 4:46 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes90%
No0%
YesWon
NoLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026
KalshiNumber of Bank of Canada rate cuts in 2026?
KalshiWill the Bank of Canada lower the rate 25bps at the December 9, 2026 meeting?
ForecastExWill the Bank of Canada lower the rate 50bps or more at the December 9, 2026 meeting?
ForecastExAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
PolymarketNext Fed rate hike?
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of Canada's target for the overnight rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bank of Canada (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
