Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
5.0 pts (24h)One-OffPoliticsCentral BanksEuropeMacro & Economy3mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 68%-5.0pt
Market quality
59 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$305
Liquidity
$1.1K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
31.0% / 33.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
5
7d Change
+1.5 pts
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Feb 24, 26, 1:26 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christine Lagarde ceases to be the President of the European Central Bank for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.