Will Christine Lagarde still be the president of the ECB the 1st November of 2027?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Christine Lagarde still be the president of the ECB the 1st November of 2027??

Manifold Markets prices No at 93% as of October 23, 2026.

When does Will Christine Lagarde still be the president of the ECB the 1st November of 2027? resolve?

Will Christine Lagarde still be the president of the ECB the 1st November of 2027? is scheduled to resolve on November 1, 2027.

How is Will Christine Lagarde still be the president of the ECB the 1st November of 2027? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Let's see how she manages her longevity in face of the previous presidents!

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ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)

Fed rate decision in October 2026

• Fed maintains rate+7.0pt90.4%
• Hike 25bps-7.0pt5.7%
• Cut 25bps1.9%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

$91.5K

24h Vol

$5.3M

KALSHI

Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?

• Hike 25bps-2.0pt81.5%
• Maintains rate+3.0pt16.5%
• Hike >25bps

POLYMARKET

Bank of Canada Decision in October?

• 25 bps increase-0.2pt82%
• No Change+0.8pt18%
• 25 bps decrease0%

+2 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Bank of Japan Decision in October?

• No change+0.3pt97%
• 25 bps increase-0.3pt2%
• 50+ bps increase1%

+2 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November

• 25 bps increase-10.2pt68%
• No change+7.5pt32%
• 25 bps decrease0%

+2 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

• No change+0.5pt97%
• 25 bps increase-0.3pt3%
• 25 bps decrease0%

+2 more outcomes

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