PredictItCheck availabilityKYC requiredUnverified resolution dataRetail prediction exchange
Current implied probability
Isabel Schnabel 98%Leader of 4 outcomes
Methodology
Retail prediction exchange
Question type
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24h Volume
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Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Christine Lagarde still be the president of the European Central Bank through the end of 2026?
FutuurChristine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
PolymarketEuropean Central Bank rate decision in October
KalshiWill the EU Deposit Facilities Rate be set above 2.4% at the meeting of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank ending December, 17, 2026?
ForecastExEuropean Central Bank rate decision in December
KalshiWill the EU Deposit Facilities Rate be set above 2.65% at the meeting of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank ending October, 29, 2026?
ForecastExRules
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Open markets
EuropePOLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+1.3pt38%
- Édouard Philippe24%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon13%
+38 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $136.9M
- 24h Vol
- $481.3K
POLYMARKETNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- December 31+6.0pt35%
- October 31+4.0pt21%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $7.5M
- 24h Vol
- $384.3K
POLYMARKETTrump x Greenland deal signed by which date?
- December 31+1.9pt100%
- September 25+5.5pt99%
- September 23+10.8pt98%
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- December-5.0pt19%
- October-9.5pt9%
- September 30,-4.7pt2%
POLYMARKETNext leader out of power before 2027?
- Netanyahu - Israel PM+8.5pt37.3%
- None before 2027+1.0pt34.3%
- Lecornu - France PM+1.6pt10.8%
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson+2.0pt86.3%
- Ulf Kristersson-0.6pt11.8%
- Ebba Busch+0.3pt1%
+7 more outcomes
- Next Prime Minister of Serbia?
- Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?
- Bulgaria Presidential Election
- Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?
- Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?
- Next Premier of Quebec
- Next Romania PM appointed by which date?
- ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
- Greenland deal text released by which date?
- Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?