This market resolved: Sagal Abdi-Wali
Resolved: Oct 9, 2026, 4:21 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Sagal Abdi-Wali
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 10, 2026, 2:15 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Hamza Chowdhury0%
Zack Polanski4%
David Roberts0%
Sagal Abdi-WaliWon
Adam HarrisonLost
Andrew FeinsteinLost
Charlie ClintonLost
David RobertsLost
David StansellLost
Georgia GouldLost
Gio SpinellaLost
Hamza ChowdhuryLost
James WhiteLost
Jim MonahanLost
Keith MoffittLost
Lorna Jane RussellLost
Luisa PorrittLost
Mehreen MalikLost
Oliver CooperLost
Pat CallaghanLost
Richard OlszewskiLost
Sarah HaywardLost
Sarah PochinLost
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election.
- If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
- In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
