Will Christine Lagarde still be the president of the European Central Bank through the end of 2026?
FedOne-OffPoliticsEuropeCentral Banks2mo
FutuurCheck availabilityVerified resolution dataCurrent implied probability
Yes 68%
Yes 68%Market quality
33 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$1.1K
Low liquidityTraders
10
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Updated 1 minute ago
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
PolymarketWill Christine Lagarde still be the president of the ECB the 1st November of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWho will replace Christine Lagarde at the European Central Bank?
PredictItEuropean Central Bank rate decision in October
KalshiWill the EU Deposit Facilities Rate be set above 2.65% at the meeting of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank ending October, 29, 2026?
ForecastExWill the EU Deposit Facilities Rate be set above 2.65% at the meeting of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank ending December, 17, 2026?
ForecastExRules
This event predicts whether Christine Lagarde will remain in office as President of the European Central Bank (ECB) through December 31, 2026.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official European Central Bank press releases or European Council announcements confirming the ECB presidency.
- If Christine Lagarde officially remains ECB President through the end of December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- If she resigns, is replaced, or otherwise ceases to hold the presidency before that date, the market will resolve to "No" at the moment of official confirmation, regardless of caretaker arrangements.
- If official ECB records are unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major European news organizations.
