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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Next Premier of Quebec
Next Premier of Quebec

Next Premier of Quebec

1.5% (24h)One-OffPoliticsElectionEurope3mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 62%+1.0%
Leader of 29 outcomes
Market quality

56 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$173.1

Liquidity

$52.3K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

8.4% / 15.0%

Spread

78.6%

Wide spread
7d Change

-1.3%

Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

May 1, 26, 10:35 PMOct 5, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon62%

Rules

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
  • To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections.
  • Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
  • If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Rules

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
  • To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections.
  • Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
  • If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.