Current community forecast
0 (0 bps) 97%Leader of 9 outcomes
Forecasters
22
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+1.5 pts
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleDec 11, 25, 8:46 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How many net Fed rate cuts in 2026?
Manifold MarketsNumber of Bank of Canada rate cuts in 2026?
KalshiNumber of emergency rate cuts in 2026?
KalshiNumber of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?
KalshiNumber of FOMC meetings with FED interest rate cuts in the US in 2026
FutuurWill there be exactly 3 rate cuts in 2026?
ForecastExRules
This market resolves to the exact number of 25-basis-point rate cuts made by the Federal Reserve in 2026, including any cuts at the December FOMC meeting.
- Emergency cuts outside scheduled FOMC meetings also count.
- The market remains open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET to capture such actions.
- Rate cuts are counted as follows:
- Each 25 bps of total reduction = 1 cut
- Cuts of 1–24 bps = 1 cut
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Manifold Markets — How many net Fed rate cuts in 2026? · 0 cuts (Target 3.50-3.75) 2%
- Also available on Polymarket — How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? · 0 (0 bps) 96%
- Also available on Kalshi — Number of rate cuts in 2026? · Exactly 0 cuts 95%
