Current community forecast
Other 95.7%Leader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
28
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleNov 1, 25, 8:15 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
Manifold MarketsNumber of Bank of Canada rate cuts in 2026?
KalshiNumber of emergency rate cuts in 2026?
KalshiNumber of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?
KalshiNumber of FOMC meetings with FED interest rate cuts in the US in 2026
FutuurWill there be exactly 3 rate cuts in 2026?
ForecastExRules
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves based on the number of 25-basis-point net rate cuts the Federal Reserve implements during 2026 calendar year.
- Each 25 bp cut counts as one, a 50 bp cut fomc counts as 2.
- If they cut the rate and raise it back then it will be considered as 0 net rate cuts.
- Resolution will be determined by official FOMC meeting announcements and the Federal Reserve's policy statements.
- Check the Federal Reserve's official website for meeting dates and decisions.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? · 0 (0 bps) 96%
- Also available on Kalshi — Number of rate cuts in 2026? · Exactly 0 cuts 95%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? · 0 (0 bps) 97%
