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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Fed
  3. How many net Fed rate cuts in 2026?
Manifold Markets

How many net Fed rate cuts in 2026?

FedInflation6mo
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Manifold Markets
0 cuts (Target 3.50-3.75) 37.9%
Leader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters

23

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 2 days ago

Stale
Nov 1, 25, 8:15 AMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

0 cuts (Target 3.50-3.75)38%

Rules

Resolution criteria

Manifold Markets
  • The market resolves based on the number of 25-basis-point net rate cuts the Federal Reserve implements during 2026 calendar year.
  • Each 25 bp cut counts as one, a 50 bp cut fomc counts as 2.
  • If they cut the rate and raise it back then it will be considered as 0 net rate cuts.
  • Resolution will be determined by official FOMC meeting announcements and the Federal Reserve's policy statements.
  • Check the Federal Reserve's official website for meeting dates and decisions.

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Rules

Resolution criteria

Manifold Markets
  • The market resolves based on the number of 25-basis-point net rate cuts the Federal Reserve implements during 2026 calendar year.
  • Each 25 bp cut counts as one, a 50 bp cut fomc counts as 2.
  • If they cut the rate and raise it back then it will be considered as 0 net rate cuts.
  • Resolution will be determined by official FOMC meeting announcements and the Federal Reserve's policy statements.
  • Check the Federal Reserve's official website for meeting dates and decisions.