2026 rate hike parlay (Fed + ECB + BOJ + BOE + PBC)

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Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for 2026 rate hike parlay (Fed + ECB + BOJ + BOE + PBC)?

Manifold Markets prices No at 88.2% as of October 29, 2026.

When does 2026 rate hike parlay (Fed + ECB + BOJ + BOE + PBC) resolve?

2026 rate hike parlay (Fed + ECB + BOJ + BOE + PBC) is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.

How is 2026 rate hike parlay (Fed + ECB + BOJ + BOE + PBC) settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if all the following raise rates at least once at any point in 2026:

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in December?

• 25 bps increase-2.0pt76%
• No change+2.0pt22%
• 50+ bps increase-0.8pt2%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

$8M

24h Vol

$2.7M

KALSHI

Fed decision in Dec 2026?

• Hike 25bps+2.0pt76.5%
• Fed maintains rate-4.0pt21%
• Hike >25bps-2.0pt

KALSHI

Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?

• Above 3.75%+3.0pt98.5%
• Above 3.50%+1.0pt99.5%
• Above 3.00%+1.0pt99.5%

POLYMARKET

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

• 0 (0 bps)+1.3pt99%
• 1 (25 bps)-0.3pt1%
• 10 (250 bps)0%

+10 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

• Yes-3.0pt76.2%
• No+3.0pt23.8%

Total Vol

$1.2M

24h Vol

$128.8K

ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)

Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)

• H 25+6.0pt70.4%
• H 0-3.0pt20%
• H 26+1.0pt5.2%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

• How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
• How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
• Fed Decision in January?
• Number of rate cuts in 2026?
• Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
• Bank of Japan Decision in October?
• Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
• Fed Decision in March?
• Fed rate cut by which date?
• Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?