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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Fed
  3. Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

0.3% (24h)FedOne-Off
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 0%
Market quality

73 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$102.4K

Liquidity

$85.6K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

0.4% / 0.5%

Spread

25.0%

Wide spread
7d Change

-1.6%

Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Trends

Outcome24hChance
Yes
Yes
0%
No
No
100%

Selected outcome

Yes0%

Rules

The Fed interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range.

Polymarket
  • The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Fed decreases the upper bound of the target federal funds range as a result of the first FOMC Meeting for which Kevin Warsh holds the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No"
  • The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after the first FOMC Meeting for which Kevin Warsh holds the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve.
  • The FOMC calendar may be viewed at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

Macro-Sensitive Assets

BitcoinBTC$62,168.01+0.65%EthereumETH$1,639.71-0.14%SolanaSOL$64.29-1.27%

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Active in these topics

DogecoinDOGE$0.084-1.02%BNBBNB$592.25-0.11%XRPXRP$1.11-2.21%CardanoADA$0.1622-2.30%HyperliquidHYPE$54.22-5.36%LitecoinLTC$42.12-2.34%

Related News

Bitcoin traders brace for Federal Reserve decision as hold odds hit 98%Crypto NewsWall Street abandons rate-cut hopes ahead of Kevin Warsh’s first FOMCCrypto NewsStrategy's bitcoin purchase fails to stir BTC priceCoindeskBitcoin braces for inflation shock as CPI puts bulls on edgeCrypto NewsThe Fed, Iran, and Saylor: anatomy of the June crypto crashCrypto NewsMay 2026 US Jobs Report: Upward Revisions Reshape Crypto Fed Rate Cut OutlookBlockchain Reporter

Rules

The Fed interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range.

Polymarket
  • The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Fed decreases the upper bound of the target federal funds range as a result of the first FOMC Meeting for which Kevin Warsh holds the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No"
  • The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after the first FOMC Meeting for which Kevin Warsh holds the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve.
  • The FOMC calendar may be viewed at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.