Current community forecast
Yes 66.3%
Forecasters
47
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleJan 7, 26, 4:06 PM UTCSep 16, 26, 6:00 PM UTC
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Resolves Yes if Polymarket correctly gusses every fed decision this year. e.g. No Change, 25 BPS cut etc....
- I will consider Polymarket to have guessed correctly if the correct outcome is the most likely Polymarket answer 24 hours before the decision is made.
- Resolves on Dec. 9th after the last fed meeting.
- Reference Market: https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-january?tid=1767801675891
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Polymarket be right about every Fed decision in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 66% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Polymarket be right about every Fed decision in 2026? resolve?
- Will Polymarket be right about every Fed decision in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on September 16, 2026.
- How is Will Polymarket be right about every Fed decision in 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves Yes if Polymarket correctly gusses every fed decision this year. e.g. No Change, 25 BPS cut etc....
