Will KIA-led forces have captured Bhamo by December 31, 2026?
One-Off3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 62.9%
Forecasters
1
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleMar 31, 26, 4:19 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market resolves YES if KIA-led forces have captured Bhamo, Kachin State's second largest city, by December 31, 2026.
- YES if by December 31, 2026:
- MOC-21 captured or surrendered
- Bhamo Airport under KIA control
- No organized junta battalion resistance in city
- KIA administering civilian affairs
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will KIA-led forces have captured Bhamo by December 31, 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 63% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will KIA-led forces have captured Bhamo by December 31, 2026? resolve?
- Will KIA-led forces have captured Bhamo by December 31, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will KIA-led forces have captured Bhamo by December 31, 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market resolves YES if KIA-led forces have captured Bhamo, Kachin State's second largest city, by December 31, 2026.