Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 56%
Forecasters
2
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleMar 31, 26, 4:20 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
This market resolves YES if KIA-led forces have captured Katha, northern Sagaing Region by December 31, 2026.
- YES if by December 31, 2026:
- All major junta installations in Katha captured
- No organized junta battalion resistance
- KIA-led forces control Irrawaddy river access at Katha
- Resistance administering civilian affairs
