Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 63.1%
Forecasters
1
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 18 hours ago
StaleMar 31, 26, 4:21 PM UTCDec 31, 28, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This market resolves YES if KIA-led forces have captured Myitkyina, the capital of Kachin State, by December 31, 2028.
- YES if by December 31, 2028:
- Northern Command HQ captured or surrendered
- Myitkyina Air Base under KIA control
- No organized junta battalion resistance
- KIA administering civilian affairs
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will KIA-led forces have captured Myitkyina by December 31, 2028??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 63% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will KIA-led forces have captured Myitkyina by December 31, 2028? resolve?
- Will KIA-led forces have captured Myitkyina by December 31, 2028? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2028.
- How is Will KIA-led forces have captured Myitkyina by December 31, 2028? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market resolves YES if KIA-led forces have captured Myitkyina, the capital of Kachin State, by December 31, 2028.