Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 75%
Forecasters
0
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleMar 31, 26, 4:21 PM UTCDec 31, 29, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will KIA-led forces have captured Myitkyina by December 31, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill KIA-led forces have captured Myitkyina by December 31, 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill KIA-led forces have captured Myitkyina by December 31, 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill KIA-led forces have captured Katha by June 30, 2027?
Manifold Markets2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiWhich Senate Swing States will Republicans win?
PolymarketRules
This market resolves YES if KIA-led forces have captured Myitkyina, the capital of Kachin State, by December 31, 2029.
- YES if by December 31, 2029:
- Northern Command HQ captured or surrendered
- Myitkyina Air Base under KIA control
- No organized junta battalion resistance
- KIA administering civilian affairs