Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 56.8%
Forecasters
2
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 18 hours ago
StaleMar 31, 26, 4:20 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market resolves YES if KIA-led forces have captured Bhamo, Kachin State's second largest city, by December 31, 2027.
- YES if by December 31, 2027:
- MOC-21 captured or surrendered
- Bhamo Airport under KIA control
- No organized junta battalion resistance in city
- KIA administering civilian affairs
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will KIA-led forces have captured Bhamo by December 31, 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 57% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will KIA-led forces have captured Bhamo by December 31, 2027? resolve?
- Will KIA-led forces have captured Bhamo by December 31, 2027? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2027.
- How is Will KIA-led forces have captured Bhamo by December 31, 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market resolves YES if KIA-led forces have captured Bhamo, Kachin State's second largest city, by December 31, 2027.