PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
December 13%-1.5ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
57 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$8.4
Liquidity
$13.2K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
69
7d Change
-3.0 pts
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Oct 14, 25, 1:04 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if India initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Pakistani territory by the named outcome, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Indian military forces that impact Pakistani territory (e.g., if an Indian missile or drone hits a target within Pakistan’s borders, this market will resolve to "Yes").
- Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching Pakistani territory, as well as surface-to-air missile strikes, will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether debris lands on Pakistani soil or causes damage.
- Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or any operation conducted by Indian ground forces will not qualify as a strike under this market.
- The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for India strike on Pakistan by which date??
- Polymarket prices December at 13% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does India strike on Pakistan by which date? resolve?
- India strike on Pakistan by which date? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is India strike on Pakistan by which date? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if India initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Pakistani territory by the named outcome, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.