PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
December · —
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Stored reference
December 9%Leader of 6 outcomes
December 9%Market quality
55 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$147
Liquidity
$15K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$23.8K
Bid / Ask
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DecemberSpread
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Comments
70
7d Change
-2.5 pts
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Oct 14, 25, 1:04 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
December 31Lost
MarchLost
November 14Lost
November 30Lost
October 31Lost
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · December
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Pakistan still exist as a united country in 2035?
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if India initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Pakistani territory by the named outcome, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Indian military forces that impact Pakistani territory (e.g., if an Indian missile or drone hits a target within Pakistan’s borders, this market will resolve to "Yes").
- Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching Pakistani territory, as well as surface-to-air missile strikes, will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether debris lands on Pakistani soil or causes damage.
- Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or any operation conducted by Indian ground forces will not qualify as a strike under this market.
- The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.