Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 16, 2026, 10:20 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecastYes 17%
Forecasters
24
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 days ago
StaleFeb 9, 24, 1:37 PMMar 1, 31, 10:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes17%
Volume trend
$34Jul 152d of dataJul 16
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Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.