Will South Korea acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
One-OffGeopoliticsMiddle EastChinaLatin AmericaSouth Asia4yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 83%
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24
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Forecast
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Updated 16 hours ago
StaleFeb 9, 24, 1:37 PM UTCMar 1, 31, 10:59 PM UTC
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Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that South Korea has acquired at least one nuclear weapon before January 1st 2031.
- This device must be under the sovereign control of the South Korean State, and they must have the ability to use it independently.
- Different countries:
- @/RemNi/will-japan-acquire-nuclear-weapons
- @/RemNi/will-australia-acquire-nuclear-weap
- @/RemNi/will-south-korea-acquire-nuclear-we (this question)