Will Germany acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
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Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 5:02 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
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No 96.2%
No 96.2%Forecasters
35
Question type
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Forecast
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Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingFeb 9, 24, 1:39 PM UTCMar 1, 31, 10:59 PM UTC
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PolymarketNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketRules
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Germany has acquired at least one nuclear weapon before January 1st 2031.
- This device must be under the sovereign control of the German State, and they must have the ability to use it independently.
- Different years:
- @/RemNi/will-germany-acquire-nuclear-weapon (this question)
- @/RemNi/will-germany-acquire-nuclear-weapon-4f9456e9a05e
- Different countries: