Will Indonesia acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
GeopoliticsOne-OffMiddle EastChinaLatin AmericaTech4yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 96.9%
Forecasters
13
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleFeb 17, 24, 6:12 PM UTCMar 1, 31, 10:59 PM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Indonesia has acquired at least one nuclear weapon before January 1st 2031.
- This device must be under the sovereign control of the Indonesian State, and they must have the ability to use it independently.
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