What are the current odds for Will Narendra Modi win a fourth term as leader of India??

Manifold Markets prices No at 57.2% as of October 25, 2026.

Paper trade this

Will Narendra Modi win a fourth term as leader of India?

One-OffElection South Asia2y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 57.2%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 14 hours ago

Stale

Jun 10, 24, 11:06 AM UTCJan 1, 29, 4:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Related Markets

Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.

Will Joe Biden and Narendra Modi meet in person in year 2028?

Manifold Markets

Will Donald Trump and Narendra Modi meet in person in year 2028?

Manifold Markets

Will Modi have a full term as Prime Minister?

Manifold Markets

Narendra Modi announces departure as Prime Minister of India?

Kalshi

Who will lead India after Narendra Modi leaves power?

Manifold Markets

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by which date?

Polymarket

Rules

Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.

Report a data issue with this market

Will Narendra Modi win a fourth term as leader of India?

Will Narendra Modi win a fourth term as leader of India?

Open markets

Brazil Presidential Election

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

Texas Senate winner?

Which party will win the U.S. House?

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Frequently asked questions

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Open markets

Brazil Presidential Election

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

Texas Senate winner?

Which party will win the U.S. House?

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms