Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 22, 2026, 10:30 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecastYes 13.6%
Forecasters
20
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 days ago
StaleApr 30, 23, 1:33 PMJan 1, 30, 3:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes14%
Volume trend
$244Jul 212d of dataJul 22
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Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.