Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast2036-2040 26.4%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
5
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleOct 5, 25, 7:00 PM UTCOct 5, 50, 6:58 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Chinese economic growth drop below the upper middle-income GDP growth average in any year before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill the US Gini coefficient as measured by the World Bank exceed 41.5 in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the World Bank lose it's AAA credit rating (2030)
Manifold MarketsHow high will the Nifty 50 Index get in 2026?
KalshiDrop in India’s S&P long-term credit rating in 2026?
FutuurModi out by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.