Will the US Gini coefficient as measured by the World Bank exceed 41.5 in 2028?

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Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will the US Gini coefficient as measured by the World Bank exceed 41.5 in 2028??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 84.1% as of October 25, 2026.

When does Will the US Gini coefficient as measured by the World Bank exceed 41.5 in 2028? resolve?

Will the US Gini coefficient as measured by the World Bank exceed 41.5 in 2028? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2030.

How is Will the US Gini coefficient as measured by the World Bank exceed 41.5 in 2028? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The Gini coefficient is a measure of income inequality that ranges from 0 (perfect equality) to 100 (perfect inequality).

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POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in October?

• No change+2.0pt95%
• 25 bps increase-2.0pt5%
• 25 bps decrease0%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

$63.2M

24h Vol

$1.7M

POLYMARKET

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

• Hike–Pause–Hike73.3%
• Hike–Pause–Pause-0.5pt20.8%
• Hike–Hike–Hike-1.6pt3%

+6 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

• Yes+2.5pt77.2%
• No-2.5pt22.8%

Total Vol

$1.1M

24h Vol

$20K

POLYMARKET

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

• 2 (50 bps)+2.0pt72.3%
• 1 (25 bps)22.8%
• 3 (75 bps)-2.2pt5%

+3 more outcomes

KALSHI

CPI YoY in December

• Above 3.0%96.5%
• Above 3.1%95.5%
• Above 3.3%94.5%

KALSHI

CPI YoY in November

• Above 3.3%97.5%
• Above 3.0%98.5%
• Above 3.1%98.5%

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