Hibatullah Akhundzada still Taliban’s Supreme Commander through the end of 2026?
One-OffSouth Asia2mo
FutuurCheck availabilityVerified resolution dataCurrent implied probability
Yes 91%
Yes 91%Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$954.3
Low liquidityTraders
6
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will be the next leader of Afghanistan after Hibatullah Akhundzada?
Manifold MarketsIf Chelsea Voss were to 1v1 Domenic Denicola in Supreme Commander: FA, would she win?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a major uprising against Taliban government in Afghanistan by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the Taliban represent Afghanistan at the United Nations before 2030?
Manifold MarketsModi out by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketYoon out of custody before 2027?
PolymarketRules
This event predicts whether Hibatullah Akhundzada will remain in power as the Taliban’s supreme leader (Emir) through December 31, 2026.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official Taliban communications and widely recognized governmental/international reporting identifying the Taliban’s supreme leader.
- If Hibatullah Akhundzada is still recognized as the Taliban’s supreme leader through the end of December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Temporary absences will not affect resolution as long as he is officially recognized as leader.
- If leadership is disputed or official Taliban statements are unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major international news organizations.