Will the Taliban represent Afghanistan at the United Nations before 2030?
One-OffPoliticsSouth Asia3y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 1:18 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
Yes 62.6%
Yes 62.6%Forecasters
17
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Forecast
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Updated 3 minutes ago
Dec 26, 23, 4:33 AM UTCJan 1, 30, 7:59 AM UTC
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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FutuurNext Secretary-General of the United Nations
PolymarketRules
The UN Credentials Committee approves each member's representation.
- In Dec 2021 the committee voted to defer whether to recognize the Taliban's desired representative to the UN.
- Currently representation of Afghanistan is still held by an appointee of the previous democratic government.
- The Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan generally lacks international recognition.
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/cash/will-the-taliban-represent-afghanis-49897feecebe)
